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Theoretical probability · 5 marks

Write the sample space and calculate the probability based on the given information.

  1. (i) Two coins are tossed at the same time. What is the probability of getting at least one head?
  2. (ii) Ten identical cards numbered 1 to 10 are placed in a box. One card is drawn at random. What is the probability of drawing a card with an even number?
  3. (iii) A die is rolled once. What is the probability of getting a number greater than 4?
  4. (iv) A bag contains 3 red balls, 2 blue balls, and 1 green ball. One ball is picked at random. What is the probability that it is not red?
  5. (v) Three coins are tossed simultaneously. What is the probability of getting exactly two heads?
Answer: (i) 34 (ii) 12 (iii) 13 (iv) 12 (v) 38

Step-by-step solution

Idea: For each part: write S (every outcome once), pick out the outcomes that fit the event, and use P = favourable outcomespossible outcomes.

(i) Two coins are tossed at the same time. What is the probability of getting at least one head?

  1. S = {HH, HT, TH, TT}, n(S) = 4.½ mark
  2. “At least one head” means one or two heads: {HH, HT, TH}, 3 outcomes. P = 34.½ mark
34

(ii) Ten identical cards numbered 1 to 10 are placed in a box. One card is drawn at random. What is the probability of drawing a card with an even number?

  1. S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10}, n(S) = 10.½ mark
  2. Even numbers: {2, 4, 6, 8, 10}, 5 outcomes. P = 510 = 12.½ mark
12

(iii) A die is rolled once. What is the probability of getting a number greater than 4?

  1. S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}, n(S) = 6.½ mark
  2. Greater than 4: {5, 6} (4 itself is not greater than 4). P = 26 = 13.½ mark
13

(iv) A bag contains 3 red balls, 2 blue balls, and 1 green ball. One ball is picked at random. What is the probability that it is not red?

  1. Label the balls: S = {R1, R2, R3, B1, B2, G}, n(S) = 6.½ mark
  2. Not red: {B1, B2, G}, 3 outcomes. P = 36 = 12.½ mark
12

(v) Three coins are tossed simultaneously. What is the probability of getting exactly two heads?

  1. S = {HHH, HHT, HTH, HTT, THH, THT, TTH, TTT}, n(S) = 2 × 2 × 2 = 8.½ mark
  2. Exactly two heads: {HHT, HTH, THH}, 3 outcomes (HHH has three heads, so it is not included). P = 38.½ mark
38
(i) 3/4 (ii) 1/2 (iii) 1/3 (iv) 1/2 (v) 3/8

Check: (i) P(no head) = P(TT) = 14 and 14 + 34 = 1 ✓. (iv) P(red) = 36, and 36 + 36 = 1 ✓. (v) Counts of heads 0, 1, 2, 3 occur 1, 3, 3, 1 times: total 8 ✓.

Answer to write in the exam

(i)

S = {HH, HT, TH, TT}; n(S) = 4

E = {HH, HT, TH}; n(E) = 3

∴ P(at least one head) = 34

(ii)

S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10}; n(S) = 10

E = {2, 4, 6, 8, 10}; n(E) = 5

∴ P(even number) = 510 = 12

(iii)

S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}; n(S) = 6

E = {5, 6}; n(E) = 2

∴ P(number greater than 4) = 26 = 13

(iv)

S = {R1, R2, R3, B1, B2, G}; n(S) = 6

E (not red) = {B1, B2, G}; n(E) = 3

∴ P(not red) = 36 = 12

(v)

S = {HHH, HHT, HTH, HTT, THH, THT, TTH, TTT}; n(S) = 8

E = {HHT, HTH, THH}; n(E) = 3

∴ P(exactly two heads) = 38

Common mistakes that cost marks

  • In (i), counting only HT and TH (exactly one head). “At least one” includes HH.
  • In (iii), including 4 in “greater than 4” and getting 36.
  • In (v), writing the sample space with only 4 outcomes, or counting HHH as “two heads”. Three coins give 8 outcomes, and exactly two means not three.

How this can come in the exam

MCQ (1 mark)

Three coins are tossed together. The probability of getting no head is

  1. 0
  2. 18
  3. 13
  4. 38
Show answer

(B) 18
Only TTT out of 8 outcomes: 18.

Short answer (2 marks)

Cards numbered 1 to 15 are put in a box and one is drawn at random. Write the sample space and find the probability that the number is a multiple of 4.

Show answerS = {1, 2, …, 15}, n(S) = 15. Multiples of 4: {4, 8, 12}, 3 outcomes. P = 315 = 15.

Try one yourself

A bag has 4 yellow, 1 white and 3 black balls. One ball is picked at random. Find the probability that it is not black.

Show answer

n(S) = 8; not black = 4 + 1 = 5 balls. P = 58.

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