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Theoretical probability · 2 marks

The letters of the word ‘PEACE’ are placed on cards. Leela draws a card without looking.

  1. (i) What is the probability that it is a P, E or C?
  2. (ii) What is the probability that it is not an E?
PEACE
Answer: (i) P(P, E or C) = 45 (ii) P(not E) = 35

Step-by-step solution

Given: 5 cards: P, E, A, C, E (E appears twice)

Idea: There are 5 cards, so 5 equally likely outcomes. E is on 2 cards, so count it twice.

(i) What is the probability that it is a P, E or C?

  1. Cards showing P, E or C: P (1), E (2), C (1): 4 cards. Only A is left out.½ mark
  2. P = 45 = 0.8.½ mark
45

(ii) What is the probability that it is not an E?

  1. Cards that are not E: P, A, C: 3 cards.½ mark
  2. P(not E) = 35 = 0.6. (Check: P(E) = 25 and 1 − 25 = 35.)½ mark
35
(i) 4/5 (ii) 3/5

Check: (i) P(A) = 15 and 45 + 15 = 1 ✓. (ii) P(E) = 25 and 35 + 25 = 1 ✓.

Answer to write in the exam

(i)

n(S) = 5 (P, E, A, C, E)

Favourable cards: P, E, C, E; number = 4

∴ P(P, E or C) = 45

(ii)

Cards not E: P, A, C; number = 3

∴ P(not E) = 35

Common mistakes that cost marks

  • Counting E only once and using 4 cards in all. PEACE has 5 letters, and both Es are separate cards.
  • In (i), getting 35 by counting P, E, C as three cards. E is on two cards, so there are 4 favourable cards.
  • In (ii), getting 45 by removing only one E.

How this can come in the exam

MCQ (1 mark)

The letters of the word ‘APPLE’ are written on 5 cards and one is drawn at random. The probability that it is P is

  1. 15
  2. 25
  3. 14
  4. 12
Show answer

(B) 25
P appears on 2 of the 5 cards: 25.

Short answer (2 marks)

The letters of the word ‘COCONUT’ are put on cards and one card is drawn at random. Find the probability that the letter is (a) C or O, (b) not a vowel.

Show answer7 cards: C, O, C, O, N, U, T. (a) C, C, O, O: P = 47. (b) Vowels O, O, U; not a vowel: C, C, N, T: P = 47.

Try one yourself

The letters of the word ‘SEED’ are placed on cards. One card is drawn at random. Find the probability that it is not an E.

Show answer

4 cards, 2 are E. P(not E) = 24 = 12.

More questions like this

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