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Theoretical probability · 1 mark

A bag has 3 candies: strawberry, lemon, and mint. One is picked at random. What is the probability of picking a strawberry candy?

Answer: P(strawberry) = 13 ≈ 0.33.

Step-by-step solution

Idea: S = {strawberry, lemon, mint}: 3 equally likely outcomes, 1 of them favourable.

  1. S = {strawberry, lemon, mint}, n(S) = 3. Favourable: strawberry, 1 outcome.½ mark
  2. P(strawberry) = 13 ≈ 0.33.½ mark
P(strawberry candy) = 1/3.

Check: Each flavour has probability 13 and 13 × 3 = 1 ✓.

Answer to write in the exam

S = {strawberry, lemon, mint}; n(S) = 3

Favourable outcomes = 1

∴ P(strawberry) = 13

Common mistakes that cost marks

  • Writing 12 (“strawberry or not strawberry”). Those two results are not equally likely; there are three equally likely candies.
  • Writing 3 instead of 13. A probability can never be more than 1.
  • Writing 13 as 0.3. As a decimal it is 0.333…, about 0.33.

How this can come in the exam

MCQ (1 mark)

A box has 5 pens of different colours: red, blue, black, green and pink. One pen is taken at random. The probability that it is not black is

  1. 15
  2. 25
  3. 35
  4. 45
Show answer

(D) 45
4 of the 5 pens are not black: 45.

MCQ (1 mark)

A jar has 2 orange, 1 lime and 1 cola sweet. One is picked at random. The probability of an orange sweet is

  1. 14
  2. 13
  3. 12
  4. 23
Show answer

(C) 12
2 of the 4 sweets are orange: 24 = 12.

Try one yourself

A plate has 4 laddoos: besan, coconut, motichoor and rava. One is picked at random. What is the probability that it is coconut?

Show answer

14.

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