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Theoretical probability · 2 marks

If you roll a standard 6-sided die, what is the theoretical probability of getting a 4?

Answer: P(rolling a 4) = 16 = 0.1666… ≈ 0.167 or 16.7%.

Step-by-step solution

Given: A standard die with faces 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, all equally likely
To find: P(rolling a 4)

Idea: For equally likely outcomes, P = Number of favourable outcomesNumber of possible outcomes. No experiment is needed.

  1. Number of favourable outcomes = 1 (only the number 4).½ mark
  2. Number of all possible outcomes = 6 (the numbers 1 through 6).½ mark
  3. P(rolling a 4) = 16 = 0.1666… ≈ 0.167 or 16.7%.1 mark
P(rolling a 4) = 1/6 = 0.1666… ≈ 0.167, or 16.7%.

Check: Each of the 6 faces has probability 16, and 6 × 16 = 1, as the probabilities of all outcomes must add up to 1.

Answer to write in the exam

Number of favourable outcomes = 1 (the number 4)

Number of possible outcomes = 6

∴ P(rolling a 4) = 16 = 0.1666… ≈ 0.167 or 16.7%

Common mistakes that cost marks

  • Writing 46 because the face is a 4. The favourable count is the number of faces showing 4, which is 1.
  • Rounding 0.1666… to 0.166. To three decimal places it rounds up to 0.167.
  • Mixing up theoretical and experimental probability: theoretical uses the count of equally likely outcomes, not results of rolls.

How this can come in the exam

MCQ (1 mark)

A die is thrown once. The probability of getting a number less than 3 is

  1. 16
  2. 13
  3. 12
  4. 23
Show answer

(B) 13
Favourable outcomes {1, 2}: 2 of 6. P = 26 = 13.

Assertion–Reason (1 mark)

Assertion (A): When a fair die is thrown, the probability of getting 6 is 16.
Reason (R): A die has 6 faces, and they are equally likely to come up.

  1. Both A and R are true, and R is the correct explanation of A.
  2. Both A and R are true, but R is not the correct explanation of A.
  3. A is true but R is false.
  4. A is false but R is true.
Show answer

(A) Both A and R are true, and R is the correct explanation of A.
1 favourable face out of 6 equally likely faces gives 16; R is the reason.

Try one yourself

A fair die is rolled once. What is the theoretical probability of getting a 1? Write it as a fraction and a percentage.

Show answer

16 ≈ 0.167 ≈ 16.7%.

More questions like this

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